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District Projection Summary
Interpreting the Data
Due to the COVID-19 pandemic, there was no testing in the spring of 2020, so the projection reports changed as follows:
- All projections assume the 2019 average schooling experience.
- Projections to grade-level assessments are made to one grade out.
Projections for grade 4 math and ELA use two predictors rather than three.
Projections for kindergarten through grade 3 reading and math are not provided because there is not enough testing history.
This report summarizes students' probabilities of success on future assessments. Combined with other data, this report is useful as an indicator for comprehensive planning, intervention and enrichment planning, and resource allocation.
It's important to consider the relative size of each probability category on your reports. This information is helpful in setting priorities for the current school year.
If most of your students have at least a 70% probability of reaching the Level 3 range, you might want to focus on:
- Maintaining students at that performance level
- Providing enrichment opportunities to move students to Level 4 or 5 range
- Providing targeted interventions for the students in lower probability ranges
On the other hand, if most of your students have less than a 40% probability of reaching the Level 3 range, you might want to focus on:
- Determining appropriate level of courses to support needs of students
- Strategies teachers can use in core course to support students in being better prepared for college readiness
- Determining available resources for which students and parents can access for needed skill improvement
- Providing additional supports and interventions for college readiness skills
- Determining if prep courses should be offered in various areas